By Jack M. Germain E-Commerce Times Part of the ECT News Network
06/04/09 4:00 AM PT
Microsoft is gearing up for the launch of its new Windows 7 operating system this fall, and April 14 marked the end of mainstream support for XP. There hasn't been any mass migration to Windows Vista, though, which many companies spurned in favor of the older, more reliable XP. Trouble is, XP is 10 years old. Eventually, its diehard fans will have to move -- and the only path to Windows 7 is through Vista.
The end of mainstream support by Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) for Windows XP ended on
April 14. That deadline came and left with barely an audible
groan from the minions of enterprise, small business and consumer
users of the decade-old operating system.
The steadfast legions of corporate Windows XP users -- and the
Microsoft Office 2003 suite that also is no longer supported -- are
not facing any dire consequences for not migrating to Windows Vista
and the Office 7 suite, however. No doomsday alarms have sounded, and there have been no
predictions of computing chaos like those that warned of
Y2K.
Microsoft will continue to provide critical security patches for both
software products until 2014. For mission-critical enterprise systems,
Microsoft will continue to provide support under corporate contracts.
So, unless a business entity ignores network security standards and
other safe computing practices, no doom-and-gloom system failures are
bound to occur.
"The end of mainstream support is not a call to hysteria or panic for
corporate customers," John Biglin, CEO of
Interphase Systems, told the E-Commerce Times. "Instead, it is a signal to the corporate staffs to plan for the next 12 to 36 months."
What's the Rush?
Enterprises did not jump on the Windows Vista
bandwagon, due to early compatibility and usability issues -- and
first impressions made lasting ones. Whether that will
happen with Windows 7 is a matter of debate. Meanwhile, the enterprise isn't feeling much urgency to abandon Windows XP.
From the corporate customer's perspective, Windows XP represents a comfort
zone. Most businesses are still on Windows XP, Biglin noted, adding that a few of his clients
are still using Windows 2000. Interphase Systems is a management and technology consulting organization that assists clients with planning and managing their business strategies and operations.
Windows Vista is a resource hog. By comparison, Windows 7 is much more
efficient. Much of the hardware that currently runs Windows XP just fine would need
memory and other component upgrades to handle Vista. That need will
not disappear for Windows 7, according to Biglin.
Money Issues Either Way
From a business standpoint, migrating to Windows 7 -- even without its
compatibility and usability concerns -- will still impact corporate
budgets. Paying for Microsoft technical support, if and when it is
needed, may influence companies to stay with Windows XP as long as possible.
From a business point of view, an operating system upgrade can cost US$400 or
more per computer, plus labor. A price tag of
$800,000 -- plus technical costs -- is not uncommon. Many corporations balked at spending over $1
million to do the upgrade to Windows Vista, Biglin recalled.
"CIOs have to look at the ability to raise the bar by moving to
Windows 7. There are compelling reasons not to move. It is very much a
logistics and project-planning issue and very much a financial issue,"
he said.
Ticking Clock
Even for enterprises that are comfortable with Windows XP and have no real need
for hotfixes from Microsoft to keep their existing configurations
working, it will be just a matter of time before they'll need to abandon a
10-year-old operating system. However, Microsoft may have made the
job of migrating to Windows 7 even more of a hassle for big
organizations with hundreds of computers, since it built the new OS
with no upgrade path from Windows XP.
Once the decision is made to upgrade, IT departments may have to
first roll Windows XP into Windows Vista and then upgrade to Windows
7. The only other option would be to jettison legacy hardware and start all
over with a new OS deployment -- or not migrate at all.
"It's time to move on from XP after 10 years," said software engineer Jackie Trillo,
director of Internet marketing and technologies at
Pristine Public
Relations.
"It will be easier for
small businesses like mine to switch over 10 PCs in the office," Trillo told the E-Commerce Times. "It
will be a much bigger task for large organizations."
The marketing firm Trillo founded is
still using Windows XP and Windows Vista but is preparing for
eventual migration to Windows 7. She expects to see mainstream adoption of Windows 7 -- but maybe
not right away.
XP users will have to make significant adjustments to the new
operating system, predicted Trillo.
The biggest obstacle in the process, she said, will be getting used to Windows 7 without the familiarity of Windows Vista.
Dissenting Views
Not everybody still using Windows XP will be making the move to
Windows 7 any time soon, though. Some users, like Trillo, are ready for the
move. Others are less sure about switching OSes.
For many enterprise customers, moving to Linux is not an option, said Interphase Systems' Biglin, because of perceived or real compatibility issues with
must-run Windows applications.
There has been an uptick with Mac
deployments, though, he said, noting that some of his clients are experimenting with Mac
compatibility.
Yet it's possible that a large contingent of diehard Windows XP users will hang on, suggested
John A. Scharfglass, president of
CompuGeeks; XP is still around because it works.
"I don't believe you are going to see Windows XP go away once Windows
7 comes out," Scharfglass told the E-Commerce Times. "Even though Microsoft won't be supporting XP, most
companies are not going to be so quick to spend money on upgrading to
Windows 7. Once Windows 7 comes out, it's too great of a chance for a
company to upgrade due to cost -- and the possibility that something will
go wrong, or that there will be compatibility issues with third-party
software."
On the other hand, international spirits company
Castle Brands
avoided the upgrade to Microsoft Vista but plans to
migrate to Windows 7 as soon as the first service pack is available to
ensure that all the bugs are gone, said Andre Preoteasa, director of IT for
the firm. Meshing with Microsoft's latest server technology is the issue.
"What is important to understand is the coupling between server
architecture and the desktop operating system," Preoteasa told the E-Commerce Times. "For example, Windows XP
works well with Windows Server 2003. The same -- theoretically -- goes for
Vista and Server 2008."
Some Options
The refurbished computer market may offer the best hope for businesses
and consumers who want to stay with Windows XP and not have a problem
adding to their computer inventory.
A rush to replace aging hardware will be the force that drives away Windows XP, predicted Interphase System's Biglin.
About 20 to 25 percent of companies that routinely replace hardware
every year delayed the purchases for the last two years to avoid
Microsoft Vista, he said.
However, companies that want to stay with Windows XP and even add to
their bank of computers running the aging OS can do that through the
Microsoft Authorized Refurbisher Program (MAR), which was activated in
November of 2007.
The MAR program "authorizes me to cleanse the hard
drive of corporate computers and install a licensed copy of Windows XP
Pro for sale on refurbished computers," said Bob Houghton, president of
Redemtech, one of the
early companies to participate.
The essence of the program is
to permit continued use of Windows XP. The license includes software
registration with all normal online support for drivers, etc.,
Houghton told the E-Commerce Times.
Most enterprise licensing allows customers to continue imaging
existing XP installations, he pointed out. This MAR program also provides an avenue
for businesses to upgrade their hardware with legitimate software
rights and remain on Windows XP.
Two Versions
"Large enterprise accounts are buying refurbished computers to
supplement their existing equipment," said Houghton. "This helps deal with constrained
budgets. We are selling a lot of these refurbished computers back into
enterprise organizations. It is a great way to squeeze budgets and
still get all the functionality."
Redemtech is one half of a two-division operation
keeping Windows XP alive after the cutoff of mainstream support.
Redemtech is an enterprise brand; its sister company,
Red Rabbitt caters to consumers.
The starting price point for a refurbished desktop PC is $99 retail . A
rough rule of thumb is that the refurbished machine is priced for
one-third to one-half the price of the computer model when it was new,
said Houghton. The refurbished Windows XP computers come with a genuine
Microsoft license, a warranty of 90 days to 1 year, depending on the
sales terms, and help desk support.
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