"At this point in time, I see direct-to-consumer digital downloads of DVD titles as being a nice, incremental market for studios. It will not be a wholesale substitution of the retail channel," said JupiterResearch analyst Todd Chanko.
Crystal Reports - Discover the Latest Innovations. Download a free trial, view real-time 'behind the scenes' functionality, and learn about new Crystal Reports Server trade in options! Learn more.
Moviegoers that happened to miss "Brokeback Mountain" when it ran in the theaters this winter get another chance on Tuesday to see the film. The movie will be among the first sold to consumers via the Internet -- on the same day it is released on DVD.
Seven studios -- including Universal Studios, which produced "Brokeback Mountain" -- will be offering movies to download on the same day that DVDs are available through agreements inked with two online movie stores.
Movielink will be digitally distributing movies by MGM, Paramount, Sony (NYSE: SNE), Twentieth Century Fox, Universal and Warner Bros., many of which are joint owners of the firm. CinemaNow is offering movies from Sony Pictures Home Entertainment, MGM and Lionsgate on a schedule that coincides with DVD-release dates.
This marks the first time Hollywood producers have agreed to license online films to be purchased -- not rented for 24 hours -- over the Internet. It is a significant philosophical shift in the industry; until recently, Hollywood has been quite gun shy. Studios have resisted Internet distribution after witnessing the precipitous fall of music CD sales triggered by digital music file-sharing.
Which Channel?
The service rollout will have only a marginal impact on the way movies are distributed for the time being, Todd Chanko, analyst with JupiterResearch, told TechNewsWorld.
It is the retailers that are, theoretically at least, most threatened by this move. However, the studios will be reluctant to cannibalize their retail channel networks, Chanko said, because they currently make more money through them than they do through the box office.
"At this point in time, I see direct-to-consumer digital downloads of DVD titles as being a nice, incremental market for studios. It will not be a wholesale substitution of the retail channel," Chanko declared.
Also, the demographics do not point to a major wholesale shift in consumer demand, he continued. "Right now, there are 112 million families that own TVs," a significant portion of which also own DVD players. On the other hand, with 49 million households, broadband has not made nearly the same inroads.
Also, retailers provide a very important service to the studios -- whetting viewers' appetites for future releases. "Their marketing makes consumers aware of what will be available; they suggest movies to watch based on their preferences." The online movie rental sites also personalize their interactions with consumers along those lines. However, such features don't match the in-person experience in the store, Chanko said.
Down the Road
Five years from now, the landscape could be considerably different. Studios may then be releasing downloads on the same day as the box office release -- which would be a major change in the way movies are distributed.
Also, the net neutrality issue -- the question of whether service providers that own the Internet pipes can charge additional money to give fast access, or worse, can restrict some activities -- will have an impact if movie downloads take off.
Besides the capacity issue, Chanko said, there is the question of competition. Buying movies online would eat into Comcast's (Nasdaq: CMCSK) on-demand movie service, for instance. "It will become a very interesting conundrum for the industry," he said.
UK Service Will Allow Customers to Download Films for Keeps March 24, 2006
While a download service has its appeal, it may not find success with consumers if they are limited in what they can do with the download, Gartner Research Director Michael King told TechNewsWorld. "I'm always a little hesitant with pay to download, pay to play," he said.
Related Stories
Related News Alerts
More by Erika Morphy
Windows 7 Flies Off the Shelves November 06, 2009
Early sales figures on Windows 7 boxed software suggest a high level of consumer enthusiasm for the OS. Unit sales were a whopping 234 percent higher than Vista's out of the gate. The revenue haul was not as impressive, as Microsoft offered sharp discounts to spur presales. Also, sales of PCs with Windows 7 preinstalled have been lackluster -- but October is historically a weak month for PC sales.
Southwest Doesn't Fool Around November 06, 2009
Either Southwest Airlines had better deals for my favorite route than its competitors or its superior Web site tools made it easier for me to ferret them out. Either way, kudos to Southwest. In the not-so-hot department were the airline's long list of what passengers weren't allowed to do and its very short list of what Southwest was obliged to do for them. Left me feeling a little chilly.
Commerce Search Puts Google Inside Retailers' Catalogs November 05, 2009
Google has launched a new cloud-based search tool targeting enterprise-level e-commerce operations, just in time for the 2009 holiday selling season. Commerce Search provides a set of features designed to improve the relevance of results for consumers searching a retailer's own product catalog, while boosting cross-selling opportunities.